The current forecast date is 30 May, showing data until 02 June.
The forecasting model is an unweighted ensemble of three individual models:
covid19.nhs.data)All models are trained on the last 6 weeks of data (from 18 April) and forecasts are made for the following 14 days.
Note: The following Trusts/UTLAs have been temporarily excluded from this report due issues with the underlying case forecasts in one or more associated UTLAs: Wirral University Teaching Hospital NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Wirral), Mid Cheshire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (UTLAs: Cheshire East, Cheshire West and Chester), Frimley Health NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Bracknell Forest), Royal Berkshire NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Bracknell Forest), East Cheshire NHS Trust (UTLA: Cheshire East), Countess Of Chester Hospital NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Cheshire West and Chester), Stockport NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Stockport).
Below is more detailed information about potential Trusts of interest, defined as Trusts where more than 20% of patients are admitted from one of the following UTLAs: Bolton, Blackburn with Darwen, Bedford.